Mortgage

Canadian Housing Market

Canadian Housing Market – Five Year Outlook

Housing Affordability in the Canadian Housing Market 

It was reported by REMAX Canada that recently there has been a rise in more Canadians moving to urban areas in recent years. The question is, how will this look over the next five years? We can see that the market has changed a lot during the pandemic with rising costs of residential properties. 

In a recent survey by Leger, it was found that about 78 per cent of Canadians were clear that taxation, interest rates, economic recession, climate change, and mixed housing were reasons to not buy a home. The report also found that public transportation was another reason, all of these points caused them to be the most concerned when it came to purchasing a home. 

It was reported that in 2020, the Canadian economy saw a five per cent decline. However, the economy also saw a 4.6 per cent growth in 2021. The Bank of Canada and the central banks have been compelled to rise interest rates as the economy is rebounding from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. 

CIBC Capital Markets reported recently that due to the pandemic, 3 million Canadians lost their jobs and 2 million found new work. Some of this new work was with reduced hours, meaning less income. The good news is that the number of Canadians who are employed is now above what it was pre-pandemic. 

During this time some Canadians were able to experience the benefits of a recession, meaning there were extremely low interest rates. This was during the first four waves of the pandemic. What does the future hold for the Canadian economy? New immigrants will help move it forward, benefiting the real estate market. 

Immigration and The Real Estate Market 

There are a lot of incredible benefits to immigration and what it can do to help the economy. Welcoming new Canadians who are ready to work and help move Canada toward a bright future. This benefits all Canadians and the future looks bright for many who will arrive in 2022.

It was reported that Canada is expect to welcome 432,000 immigrants in 2022. This will help the demand for new housing. This demand will be particularly noticed in the Toronto and Vancouver areas. The most recent REMAX Canada survey found that 61 per cent of Canadians believe in long-term investments.

However, this is not expected to change over the next five years. The survey did find that there are still issues that are causing barriers in stopping the purchase of residential properties, such as taxes, rising interest rates and capital gains tax. 

Rising Interest Rates 

According to Benjamin Tal, Capital Markets Deputy Chief, the enemy of the housing market is not high interest rates that is good for the economy in fact. It is the pace at which those rates increase that is a big risk to housing. Rate increases at a reasonable schedule of four times a year would create a stable and more relaxed housing market over the next five years.” 

There is some anticipation that inflation is going to ease up in Q4 in 2022. If it doesn’t ease then the Bank of Canada will most likely raise interest rates, “at a consistent quarterly pace to sustain a stable economy with healthy employment and a less- heated housing market.”

Under the conditions mentioned above, housing across Canada would then remain expensive through to 2027. However, these prices would not be as hot as they have been over the last three years. When it came to Canadians who did get a mortgage in 2020 and 2021, they were able to land low rates are now at risk of higher rates. 

REMAX Canada’s Housing Report

According to the report by REAMX Canada, “while demand for housing is likely to continue to outstrip supply, resulting in high prices, under a scenario like this with a higher interest rate environment, the housing market could be stable and less heated than what Canadians have experienced over the last five years.” 

The housing market is actually more stable then people realize and according to CIBC, one third of Canadians were able to purchase a new home. However, some needed the support of family members, such a parents. CIBC reported that ten per cent were able to buy a new home due to generational wealth transfer, they then used this gift to buy their new home. 

The report by REAMX also stated, according to Tal, “each recession Canada has experienced over the last 50 years has been triggered by central banks overshooting the ideal pace of interest rate hikes. In his assessment, this is the greatest potential threat to the stability of Canada’s housing market in the next five years.” 

Immigration and The Impact on The Housing Market 

It’s true that Canada welcomes immigrants every year, adding to the economy and creating new hope for many individuals. Canada had recently committed to welcome over 400,000 immigrants to the country in 2022. These new Canadians will have higher education and can add to the economy. 

Immigration benefits all of Canada, we see it adding significantly to the economy. Immigration adds to the labour market. In the REAMX report, its noted that the system could improve by selecting immigrants that can help the chronic labour market needs. It’s mentioned that there is need specifically in the skilled trades and construction. 

According to the Conference Board of Canada, higher levels of immigration can help to benefit the Canadian economy with “greater GDP and public revenues.” The CIBC and the Conference Board of Canada have agreed that there needs to be a minimum of 400,000 immigrants annually in order to help sustain the Canadian “economic vibrancy.”

Though this formula can be pretty complicated and often it doesn’t look at individuals who already reside in Canada. Those individuals are often students who are in temporary housing. We still need to take note that these factors will help the economy and the housing market.

According to the REAMX Canada report, it can take ten years for immigrants to have earning that are constant with their work experience and skills. This is in comparison to Canadian born workers, therefore it’s the result of Ottawa’s attention on immigrants who can be of economic benefit and have better support systems. 

Taxation and It’s Impact 

Finally we’ll discuss the impacts of taxation on the real estate market. According to the REAMX Canada report, in order to better manage the ballooning deficits and add to the cooling Canadian housing market. The federal government might remove the capital gains tax exemption, this was for principle residents in the next five years. 

The report stats that, “given the ballooning federal deficit sparked by the pandemic, speculation has increased that Ottawa could remove the capital gains tax exemption on primary residences. If this scenario was to transpire in the next 12 to 24 months, even in a modified or hybrid manner, it would upend the retirement plans of millions of Canadians who plan to cash in on the full gains from the sale of their principal home to fund their retirement.” 

According to Jamie Golombek of CIBC Private Wealth, “the primary homes of Canadians represent the greatest store of value for most homeowners and removing a significant portion of that value by eliminating the exemption could cool the market in profound ways.” 

So what’s next for the Canadian housing market? We will need to wait and see what these policies and with the welcoming of new immigrants in 2022. The next five years we will need to watch see if this current federal government will choose to apply the capital gains tax on primary residents. Resulting in a softening “the blow to the market by making it prorated based on how long the property has been owned or based on the value of the home.” 

Contact Lori VanDinther and Team

Have any questions about the Canadian housing market? Lori and her team are here to make sure that you’re questions are answered, plus they can start the process in looking for your new home. Whether you’re looking to downsize or expand, Lori and her team are ready to make the process an enjoyable one.

Please feel free to contact them anytime either by phone at 905-330-2002 or by email at info@loriv.com. If you’ve ever wondered what your home might be worth we have the technology to help you figure that out, try our What’s My Home Worth calculator today.

Mortgage Lender

Choosing the Right Mortgage Lender

Finding a Mortgage Lender 

When it comes time to shop for a mortgage lender it can seem daunting and stressful. However, there are multiple companies that are able to help you through the process and interest rates options. The whole process can sometimes feel really overwhelming and that’s why a mortgage lender or specialist can help you make the right decisions. 

There are three different type of mortgage lenders in Canada. The first one is the “Lender A,” which are the traditional lenders, banks and credit unions. Typically this lender is for those who have good credit scores and a steady income. 

Next is the “B Lender,” they’re able to offer a lower barrier for the borrower. The borrower may not have qualified through the bank or credit union. Finally there’s the “Private Lender,” which is for borrowers who have lower qualifications than the A and B lenders. 

“While banks and other major financial institutions are considered to be A lenders, monoline lenders also fall under this category. Unlike banks who offer multiple services like credit cards, investments and bank accounts, monoline lenders specialize primarily in mortgage loans.”

It’s best to start by looking for a mortgage broker, as we mentioned above, they can offer you recommendations on what type of mortgage is right for you. You can then compare all the options and go with the one that suits your life and income situation. This is also possible to do online, you can compare interest rates and terms. 

What to Ask Your Mortgage Broker & Lender 

It’s important to understand the interest rates and terms with your lender. This way there aren’t any surprises. Some questions you should consider asking are about your payments, property taxes and mortgage options. 

This is because each mortgage lender will have their own policies, your broker will be able help you understand their guidelines and terms. Then they’ll be able to help you determine which lender will suite your needs best. 

It might also be helpful to ask your broker what lenders they think would be best for you. It’s also a good idea to ask your broker the difference between a bank and moonline lenders. This will help you figure out payment privileges, which is usually the biggest difference. 

“Borrowers may also want to ask about extra payments on your mortgage and how many you’re entitled to per year, the mortgage renewal process, and if your lender allows property taxes to be collected with your mortgage.”

Another good question to ask would be about any penalties if you choose to pay out your mortgage early. This could impact the length of your mortgage term and the interest rate. Its important to know the interest rate penalties.  

Choosing the Right Lender 

There’s a lot involved when you’re choosing the right lender. It can be more than just about rates and terms. It’s important to make sure they have good customer service and can communicate well. 

With any service or company, you want to make sure that you’re treated well and that issue, of there are any, are resolved. It’s “important for lenders to have a good online customer portal. This is where clients can make payments, gather mortgage statements, and get other detailed information.” 

Contacting Lori VanDinther and Team 

If you need advice about mortgage lenders or brokers, we can help. If you have any questions about the current real estate market my team and I are here to answer them for you. 

We love connecting with our clients, our goal is to help you find the home of your dreams in Burlington, Ontario and surrounding areas. Please contact me either by email at info@loriv.com, or by phone at 905-632-2199. 

How Mortgages Work

How Mortgages Work

Mortgages and the Down payment 

Have you been wondering how mortgages work? When it comes to buying a home we all have to think about how we’ll finance it. It’s a major purchase and one that is life changing, you’re becoming a homeowner, it’s exciting. First we should review how mortgages work. 

There’s a lot that goes in to purchasing a home, you need to do a mortgage stress test. This test will determine what sort of mortgage you qualify for, we’ll discuss more of that later. We want to make sure that you also understand the two different types of mortgages as well, open and closed. We’ll start by discussing the down payment. 

The Down payment 

The down payment is just one part of the whole sale process, it’s a way of letting the mortgage lenders know that you, the buyer, are able to handle the financial sound. It also let’s the lender know that you’re able to make the monthly payments. It’s important for you to start saving for the downpayment well in advance of making an offer on a home. 

When it comes to the first step that you’ll take in this process, after saving, will be to find a mortgage lender. What is a mortgage lender? They’re a bank or an organization that is willing to lend you the money you need to purchase your new home. 

In Canada, there are a few lenders to choose from, for example, The Royal Bank of Canada, Scotia Bank, etc. In order to be able to get a loan you need to be eligible, this is determined by completing the pre-approval process. In this stage it’ll involve the mortgage stress test. We actually covered this in a previous blog. We’ll do a quick review of that here. 

The Mortgage Stress Test  

What is the mortgage stress test? To get more details please also check out a previous blog. To answer this question, in short, the stress test is designed to determine and see whether you qualify for a mortgage. Most lenders will require you to supply government ID, proof of address, employment information, employment history, credit history, credit score, and that you have an account with a Canadian bank. 

The stress test will allow the lender to determine a budget and how much you’ll be able to afford. Which is very important when it comes to what price range you can look at when house hunting. It’s also important to know so that you can budget for each month, making sure that you can make your mortgage payments, along with other payments that go in to having a home. There are two types of mortgages and this test will also help determine which one might be best for you. 

What are Open and Closed Mortgages?

Did you know that there are two types of mortgages? In Canada, when it comes to how mortgages work, all mortgages are either open or closed. Each one has different terms, and these terms will determine what’s allowed and what’s not. The terms also decide how often payments can be made and how much can be paid off. You can prepare choosing what type of mortgage you want, you’ll need to review you finical situation to do this. 

Closed mortgages have lower interest rates, however, they have more payment penalties. The penalties will be outlined in the montage details and will state how much money can be paid for each payment. You can lowed the monthly payment in exchange for a longer amortization period. 

Open mortgages have payment privileges at a higher interest rate. In this case your monthly payments don’t have a limit to what the specific amount can be. You can make lump sum payments if you choose. With an open montage you’re able to pay it off faster in many cases. 

When you’re deciding what mortgage is best for you, you’ll need to ask yourself a few questions. Some of the questions you might want to ask yourself are; what is your financial situation, can you pay your mortgage off early, when do you plan on selling, do you plan on selling before the mortgage term is up, what mortgage rate will you be able to afford. These are just a few important questions you need to try and answer. The next step will be actually applying for a mortgage. 

Applying for a Mortgage 

Now you’re ready to apply for a mortgage loan, but how do you do that? When applying for a mortgage it can be pretty straight forward, and the current market is flexible. Because the market is flexible it means that it’s easier for homeowners, and new homeowners, to get a loan that will suit their needs. You’ll apply for your mortgage through the financial institution of your choice, we listed a few above. They’ll walk you through the process in greater detail.

If you want lower rates and more freedom with loans, you’ll need to compete the qualifying criteria and also prove that you are able to make the monthly payments, the stress test will help determine this. Then when you’re ready you can begin to look for the house of your dreams, this is the really fun part. I can’t want to help you along in this journey. 

Contact Lori VanDinther and Team 

Taking the step to look for your new home can be a big one for some, and I want to make sure that you have a wonderful experience. Myself and my team work hard to make sure that our clients are happy and in love with their new home. 

You can contact me either by phone to email and I will be happy to answer any questions about how mortgages work, and any others you might have. If you’ve been wondering what your home is worth, you can use my What’s My Home Worth calculator. I’m looking forward to working with you soon!